Where will we live in 50 yearsâ€™ time?
The Australian Bureau of Statistics has recently released population projections which estimate where Australia’s community will be living in 2061.
The ABS predicts the resource states of Queensland and Western Australia will increase their share of the nation’s population. According to the research authority, Queensland and WA will enjoy annual average population growth of 1.5% and 2% over the next half a century.
This means – over that period – that Queensland’s population will double in size from 4.6 million to 9.3 million; it will also grow from representing 20.1% of Australia’s population to 22.3%. In the west, the population will grow from 2.4 million to 6.4 million.
Despite the growth in Queensland and WA, New South Wales will remain Australia’s most populous state, being home to approximately 11.5 million residents by 2061. (Its proportion of the national population will, however, drop from 32.2% to 27.6%).
Victoria will hold its position in the eyes of future residents, continuing to house just shy of a quarter of the nation’s population up to 2061.
In terms of capital cities, there will be a shift in power: Melbourne will overtake Sydney to become Australia’s largest city. By 2061, Melbourne will be home to 8.6 million residents – marginally ahead of Sydney’s 8.5 million.
Melbourne will attract a larger percentage of the overall Victorian market in 50 years’ time, accounting for 83.3% of the State's population, compared to 75.4% currently.
Overall, two-thirds of Australians currently live in one of our capital cities. However, within 50 years, that proportion will change to approximately three in four residents.
Increased centralisation of our nation’s population will heighten the importance of areas serviced by quality infrastructure including public transport and medical facilities.